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7.33 Strategy: Weekend Gap and Go
A common myth taught to retail traders is that 'all weekend gaps must fill.' This implies that if the market opens on Monday with a massive gap up, you should immediately sell to catch the price returning to Friday's close. This is a dangerous trap. Institutional money knows retail traders trade gap-fills, and they weaponize it.
The 'Gap and Go' strategy is designed to identify the specific mathematical conditions where a gap will *not* fill, but will instead violently continue in the direction of the gap, crushing retail gap-fill traders.
Step 1: The News Catalyst Context
When you see a weekend gap on Sunday night / Monday morning, check ForexFactory. Did a major geopolitical event (like a central bank emergency meeting, an election, or a conflict) occur over the weekend? If yes, this is a true institutional gap. The fundamental valuation of the currency has changed while the market was closed. True fundamental gaps do not fill quickly.
Step 2: The First Hour Trap
Wait for the first hour of trading to finish (the H1 candle). If the market gapped up, watch what the first H1 candle does. Retail traders will desperately sell, trying to force the price down to fill the gap. If the first H1 candle forms a long lower wick (meaning the retail sellers pushed it down, but institutions immediately bought it back up), the trap is set.
Step 3: The 'Go' Execution
Place a Buy Stop order exactly 2 pips above the high of that first H1 candle. When the price breaks above that high, it triggers the 'Go' phase. All the retail traders who sold to fill the gap are now trapped in negative equity. As the price goes higher, their stop losses are hit (which are buy orders), adding massive fuel to the upward spike.
Your Stop Loss goes beneath the wick of that first H1 candle. Because you are riding the institutional momentum of a true fundamental catalyst, target a 1:3 Risk-to-Reward ratio.
Self-Evaluation Check
1. Is the retail myth 'all gaps must fill' true?
2. What should you check when you see a massive weekend gap?
3. What is the purpose of waiting for the first H1 candle to close?
4. Where is the exact entry trigger for a Bullish Gap and Go?
5. Why does the 'Go' move often happen so violently?
